Market insights

Will the US follow Europe’s lead on interest rate cuts?

10 JUNE 2024
As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered interest rates by 25 basis points last week. The main refinancing rate is now 4.25%, and the deposit rate is 3.75%. Even though the decision was expected, European equities fell slightly, government bond prices rose (yields fell), and the euro appreciated right after the announcement.

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Why we think our 2024 currency forecasts are on track

05 JUNE 2024
Looking at how a currency behaves could reveal what direction an economy is trending in. In other words, a currency that appreciates often reflects an economy that’s doing well, and vice versa.

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The European Central Bank looks set to cut rates this week

03 JUNE 2024
Inflation in the Eurozone rose for the first time this year, adding to worries that the inflation-easing trend may have come to a halt therefore limiting the European Central Bank’s (ECB) ability to cut interest rates. We disagree: we think that inflation progress is just slowing.

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The AI rally is intact

27 MAY 2024
There were contrasting trends in markets last week. On the one hand, Nvidia beating earnings expectations once again and raising guidance for the next quarter supported the AI rally and bolstered tech stock more broadly, with the Nasdaq closing 1.4% higher.

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Watching Europe’s nascent recovery

21 MAY 2024
Last week, stocks from the US to Europe and the UK closed again at all-time highs, and government bond prices rose as yields fell, after April inflation data in the US came in broadly as expected. Inflation fell slightly, which marked a welcome relief from the rising trend we’ve seen in the first three months of the year.

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Making waves: the Impact of AI on Water Usage

15 MAY 2024
The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) in recent years, particularly with the introduction of groundbreaking platforms like ChatGPT, has catalyzed transformative shifts across various sectors, propelling stock markets to unprecedented heights this year.

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European green shoots

13 MAY 2024
Spring is finally here, and it looks like the weather is gradually improving. We got so used to the gloom of March and April that it’s perhaps natural to extrapolate the same conditions for May. But the sunshine came unexpectedly. Put differently, in investment jargon, relative to our downbeat expectations, we got a surprise to the upside.

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Stay active! (But don’t overdo it)

08 MAY 2024
The arrival of spring means one can spend extra time exercising outdoors (at least when the weather cooperates). While one doesn’t need to run a marathon to get back in shape, we think active portfolio management is more like a long jog than a short sprint – the key is keeping the right pace.

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Interest rate cuts in Europe before the US

06 MAY 2024
The arrival of spring means one can spend extra time exercising outdoors (at least when the weather cooperates). While one doesn’t need to run a marathon to get back in shape, we think active portfolio management is more like a long jog than a short sprint – the key is keeping the right pace.

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Markets adjust to less imminent rate cuts

29 APRIL 2024
Thursday’s US GDP growth print revealed more inflationary pressures in the first quarter than expected. As such, the market now only expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates once or twice, in September and/or December.

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The case for small-cap equities

26 APRIL 2024
First thing first, when we talk about small-cap equities (or small caps), it’s important to understand what “cap” refers to. Cap is short for capitalisation, which in turn is short for market capitalisation.

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The Middle East and the markets

22 APRIL 2024
In the latest tit-for-tat exchange, Israel struck Iran last Friday in response to Iran’s strike on Israel the previous week. It’s possible that Israel’s limited response could end the round of direct clashes between the two countries, at least for the time being, given that both countries have described their actions as a specific operation in response to the actions from the other (the very definition of tit-for-tat), rather than as an attempt to escalate more generally.

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In the balance

18 APRIL 2024
The first few months of 2024 have come as somewhat of a surprise to investors. For example, US growth has stayed resilient, continuing to defy the odds of recession, so markets have had to reevaluate their expectations for the year. And we are no different. Investing is about finding the right balance between having conviction in your long-term strategy and being conscious of the opportunities in the short term.

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Our 2024 outlook
Cutting through the noise

Simplifying the investment landscape in complex markets.
Quintet’s investment experts share their views on the economy, markets and investing as part of their 2024 market outlook.



DISCOVER OUR 2024 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK